Christian Engström, the Swedish Pirate Party MEP, makes the case for unbanning snus to the European Parliament’s Internal Market and Consumer Protection Committee (IMCO) – also here on his blog.  He is a shadow rapporteur to that committee, and they will provide an opinion to the Parliament on the European Commission’s proposal for the revised Tobacco Products Directive.
Is a halving of smoking likely? I agree with everything Engström says… almost… but I don’t think it is realistic to expect snus penetration to reach Swedish levels in the rest of Europe that quickly or maybe at all. However,  if you combine the snus option with the rapid growth and future potential of e-cigarettes, the novel ‘heat not burn’ tobacco products thought to be in the labs, and new devices for taking recreational nicotine in the pipeline, it is not at all unreasonable to imagine a halving of the smoking rate in the European Union quite quickly.  The Commission’s claim is that the Tobacco Products Directive will reduce smoking by 2%. By the way that’s not two percentage points off smoking prevalence (ie from 28% to 26% EU adults) , but a 2% reduction in consumption over 5 years (ie. equivalent to approximately a half  percent fall in prevalence).  In return for this nugatory result, it bans the technologies that have been so successful in Sweden and Norway at achieving much deeper cuts and over-regulates the new technologies that could work to reduce smoking all over Europe.
A thought about politics. It is good to see an approach political business with this degree of honesty, compassion and respect for liberty.  It prompts me to reflect on what politics is for and what European Parliamentarians think they are there to do? There are influential MEPs who still favour a ban on snus despite a powerful case to lift the ban and regulate the toxicity of the ingredients. They support the ban despite the overwhelming scientific, ethical and legal case  against it: high-powered expert advice to the contrary, an informed and politically pragmatic alternative policy, plenty of easy-to-understand data, an elegant one-page summary, and to cap it all, a brutal critique of the Commission’s case for a ban. Who are they protecting and from what?  No health groups have so far made a case for ban – other than just asserting it should be banned – of course it won’t be them that gets the cancer and emphysema.
Would it be possible to get the UK citizens involved in the TPD charged with manslaughter? The MEPs, the bureaucrats, Jean King of CRUK whom you mentioned in your post of March 21st. They can now be in no doubt that the availability of snus and ecigs under current regulation have resulted in huge numbers of people giving up or drastically cutting down their smoking. It was reported in the press today that a firm of lawyers is looking into the possibility of charging Sir David Nicholson (mid Staff NHS scandal) with manslaughter. Even if such an attempt were not successful, it would bring the issue to public attention and make adoption of the TPD very unlikely.
The IMCO lot have made their recommendations… http://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/commissions/imco/projet_avis/2013/508048/IMCO_PA(2013)508048_EN.doc – not good news at all.
Well – I think the threshold was always a bit daft. And the explicit 3-year lead time is helpful. The mandatory medicines classification is the problem – combined with the absence of an explicit alternative
For your information:
The “IMCO reccomendation” is the twin of the reccomendations from the german WHO Collaborating Center for Tobacco Control (housed in the german cancer research centre):
http://www.dkfz.de/de/tabakkontrolle/download/Publikationen/Stellungnahmen/DKFZ_Stellungnahme_Vorschlag_EU_TobReg_mit_Anhang.pdf (german)
Dear Mr. Bates,
At least two links in this post seem broken.
http://clivebates.com/swedendata.pdf (“easy-to-understand data”)
http://clivebates.com/documents/swedenposter.pdf (“an elegant one-page summary”)
Do you remember what studies or articles they refer to?
Thank you!
Thanks for pointing this out… at least someone is looking!
The links are now fixed in the posting (one was misnamed on the page and one on the server). Very sloppy on my part… The correct links are:
http://clivebates.com/documents/swedendata.pdf
http://clivebates.com/documents/swedenposter.pdf