The weakness of New Zealand’s ‘endgame’ modelling

November 2022: New Zealand

Scientific paper

An analytical critique of the modelling of New Zealand’s proposed denicotinisation law:

1. The orignal modelling, Ouakrim et al.
2. Our critique via Qeios, Bates, Youdan, Bonita, Laking, Beaglehole
3. Blog: Using models disconnected from reality to justify huge ‘endgame’ interventions
4. The modellers’ response to our critique, Edwards et al.
5. Our reply to the modellers’ response

Update: following the October 2023 election in New Zealand, the incoming coalition announced it would repeal this legislation