2024

Letter to Canada’s Minister Saks against a vape flavour ban

The letter argues that any benefits are likely to be heavily outweighed by unintended consequences through additional smoking, illicit trade and risky workarounds. I highlight a significant flaw in the original 2021 analysis supporting the flavour ban policy. The analysis assumed a gateway effect from vaping to smoking and that reductions in vaping would also reduce smoking. The reverse is more likely.

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Nicotine 2040

Why is there a demand for nicotine? The demand derives from a simple proposition: For some people, nicotine use makes them feel or function better. Looking out to 2040, we should see the demand for nicotine as robust and resilient. The demand for any particular way of taking it is much more fluid.

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